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Country Machine tool 2003 -2 008 years, the industry average annual growth rate of 26%, far higher than the GDP growth rate, China’s machine tool industry shows tremendous room for growth. According to the China Machine Tool Industry Association predicts that this year growth rate of China’s machine tool industry will be much higher than expected, China will become the world’s third consecutive six-year machine tool 1 large consumer and importer. Expected annual output value of machine tools will reach 90 billion U.S. dollars, machine tool consumption is about 14.5 billion U.S. dollars, and domestic machine tool market share for the first time in 10 years to more than 50%.

1 ~ 8 months, in the stimulation of domestic demand, the machine tool industry bottomed out, monthly production data from the lowest point over the previous year narrowed to -9% -34%. However, profit indicators, 1 August machine tool industry is still a negative growth of total profit over the previous year, or even negative growth in the index in August increased, in sharp contrast with the output indicators, indicating the machine tool industry rebound is not solid. China’s machine tool industry and fierce competition means lower prices in many enterprises to adopt competitive, giving a threat to corporate profits.

This year, China’s machine tool exports continue to grow rapidly. 1 August, metal processing machine tool exports 1.047 billion U.S. dollars, up 44.79 percent. In the rapid export growth, China’s machine tool imports are reduced. 1 to 8 months, China Machine Tools amount of 4.498 billion U.S. dollars of imports, down 4.97%. Since 2004, China’s exports of metalworking machine tools has remained over 40% growth rate. Metal processing machine tool exports this year will reach 1.6 billion U.S. dollars, in particular CNC machine tools Exports will maintain rapid growth. China’s machine tool imports this year are expected to maintain a steady state, the annual import volume is expected to 71 million.

Downstream from the machine tool industry, cars, machinery, machine tool industry and war industry is a major downstream industries, including automobile is the most important industry, accounting for 45% of the lower reaches of the machine tool industry is about. The first three quarters, the promotion of related policies, China’s auto industry market blowout occurred, especially in August reached a record high auto production increased. Since the rise in vehicle production remained unchanged, the main raw material of steel production capacity excesses, in the fourth quarter upward pressure on steel prices lower, thus, the machine tool industry in the fourth quarter profit more space, this machine will be good corporate earnings. And last year’s fourth quarter production base of lower machine tool industry, machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in the fourth quarter is expected.

Under the “special plan for major machine tool industry” and “upscale CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipment major projects”, the next few years, the machine tool industry to accelerate industrial upgrading will show the trend of product innovation in enterprises made more demands, those with strong R & D strength, technical strength of enterprises will benefit significantly.

Machine tool industry in general operating conditions

    China’s machine tool industry in 2007 is expected to gross output value (according to National Bureau of Statistics diameter) is about about 260 billion yuan, an increase of 30% ~ 35%, of which NC metal processing machine tools is expected to reach 12 million units. From the production point of view, metal cutting machine tools can reach 58 million units, up 15%; metal forming machine to reach 15 million units, up 20%; woodworking machines, also a small amount of growth; tool to increase up to 17%.

    Machine tool industry in the economy has the following characteristics:

(1) Market unprecedented prosperity. “Now if someone dare to dare someone to” Whilst this may sound exaggerated, but it does reflect a market phenomenon never seen before, that is gratifying, but also cause for concern. Market demand, there have been some structural changes, one large, ever-increasing demand for heavy-duty machine tools, sampling and analysis of capital structure from 1 / 20 to 1 / 10; Second, in CNC machine tools, the demand for higher-grade products the amount of rising demand from 1 / 10 to 1 / 7; third complete line of products into the rising demand, and some time on the procurement of hundreds of machining centers or CNC machine tools. These structural changes reflect an aspect of the user’s trust in Chinese-made CNC machine tools on the rise.

   (2) manufacturing enterprises to increase rapidly, the size of enterprises, level, the quality gap between the obvious. Supporting an increasingly perfect, but a high level of component parts are still abroad, overseas-based. National Bureau of Statistics has now entered the scope of machine tool manufacturing company there are about 4,000, in fact in many areas there is only a province of more than 3,000. According to conservative estimates, at present the country’s machine tool industry for at least 5 million enterprises, mainly concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, black Liaoning, Shaanxi-Gansu and southwestern China. Now when I hear a complete stranger’s machine tool plant name is very common thing, do not feel ashamed of your ignorant. Manufacturing enterprises continue to increase, as the machine tool industry provides the basis for the growth, but also for the industry to adjust and optimize to improve the overall quality of the more difficult.

   (3) import and export volume increasing, but overall there is no qualitative change, “high fall, low-end melee” Although the situation greatly improved, but “high-end finishing rely on imports, middle and low rough by domestic” The market mentality has not changed significantly.

    Recently, due to China’s overall trade surplus large, some government departments to formulate a number of machine tools, etc. are not conducive to China’s machinery industry exports the policy of preferential imports (which is unheard of thing), will likely slow down the product structure of China’s Machine Tool optimize the process.

    2 From another perspective, China’s machine tool industry

2008 will be in China’s history and economic development in the history of the book is worth re-pen great year. Not only because of the 2008 Olympic Games will be held in Beijing, more importantly, the new generation of Chinese leaders, the new Central Government will meet the overall leadership of the Chinese society with new opportunities and challenges. China’s rapid economic growth is unstoppable, but there is a variety of variables and hidden concerns. China’s economy is facing new ideas, new developments, new challenges and new problems. In such a colorful environment of market economy, China’s machine tool industry will be how to deal with eye-catching.

1, 2009 Review of the economic operation

A variety of statistical data from the current point of view, machine-building industry has stabilized to pick up, but there is still an indication of instability. Outlook 2009 fourth quarter economic data and the “Shier Wu” planning readiness is the industry environment for the development is still “dangerous” “machine” in half, as long as the whole industry to seize the opportunity and strive hard to deal with properly, the industry is expected to continue to achieve stable and healthy development. Machine tool industry in the development of popular industry-wide impact of machine-building industry, analyze the situation of the industry helps us to clearly determine the movement of machine tool industry.

1.2009-year Machinery Industry Development features:

(1) The machine-building industry in 2009 achieved a steady growth, although the growth rate greater than the 2008 drop, but still faster growth. 2009 gross industrial output value a ~ 2.90% increase year on year in February, 1 May rose 6.31 percent, 1 to August rose 9.70 percent, the month in September grew 17.88% and the growth rate significantly increased, with growth in machine tool industry 8.44%.

(2) marketing more difficult, but the convergence of a more normal production and marketing. Nearly three years of rapid growth has stimulated production capacity expansion, and strengthen macro-control to market demand, a gradual return to normal, which gradually intensified the contradiction of supply exceeding demand, sales more difficult; but most companies have taken various measures to actively strain, so industry-wide sales rate is still normal.

(3) a marked decline in efficiency and profits fell. Machinery Industry in 2009 1 June cumulative: total assets of the contribution rate of 9.31 percent, down 1.04 percentage points; cost margin 5.27%, down 1.22 percentage points; sales profit rate 4.97%, down 1.09 percentage points; to achieve Profit for the first time in nearly three years of negative growth, but year on year decline in the monthly reduced; 1 ~ 2 months increased by -25.81%, 1 ~ May grew -7.73% in August increased by 1 ~ -6.83% (including machine tools Industry Growth -11.88%).

(4) the export decline, the surplus reduction. 2009 1 August total exports of 121.809 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of -24.71%, total imports of 110.8 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of -23.53%, import and export surplus of 11.033 billion U.S. dollars. 2009 1 June cumulative trade surplus in 2008 than in the same period of 18.3 billion U.S. dollars.

(5) The output of major products continue to rise. 2009 1 August total included statistics express the output of major products in 2008 than in the same period in the majority of growth: large and medium tractors 163,118 units, up 18.72 percent; CNC machine tools 93335 Taiwan, up 10.40%; 71.34 million kW power generation equipment yuan, down 14.39 percent, although the decline, more and abroad, China’s total output of power generating equipment is still highest in the world; 8.458 million vehicles, up 19.99%, of which 5.113 million cars, up 27.72%.

(6) The macro-control policy orientation are different, different in different development of the industry trend. Stable trend in the overall context of development, to electricians, heavy-duty mining, petrochemical major technology-based general-purpose equipment manufacturing industry to continue to maintain a rapid growth; to the automotive and construction machinery, represented by transportation and construction machinery and equipment manufacturing as well as mainly for their matching internal combustion engine much slower manufacturing growth; while agricultural machinery and food packaging machinery industry grew significantly accelerated the development of other sectors were relatively stable.

2009 1 to August year on year growth rate of industrial output value of various industries: agricultural machinery industry, 22.71%, 2.50% internal combustion engine, engineering machinery 17.66%, instrumentation 4.00%, culture and office equipment declined by 7.27%, affected large general petrochemical 8.45 %, heavy mining machinery 15.76%, 8.44% machine tools, electrical appliances 7.21%, 11.16% common basic parts, food packaging machinery 20.85%, automobile industry, 7.26%, 27.59% other civilian machinery.

2. Data analysis of various key industries

Electric industry: power generation equipment representative products. In 2008 both the growth rate of output or have been created in the world. 2009 1 ~ 8 monthly output has reached 71.34 million kW. In its lead, power transmission equipment manufacturing industry has continued to Zou Wang, an increase of 11.29%.

Heavy Mining Machinery: Although the macro-control of some medium and small iron and steel, cement enterprises have greater impact, but large-scale iron and steel and cement companies were not affected, but also accelerated the pace of bigger and stronger, so the overall demand for heavy mining equipment and the production and marketing situation has not were significantly affected, order to maintain a high level. 2009 1 to August industrial output value increased by 15.76%, higher than the industry average of 6 percentage points.

Agricultural machinery and food packaging machinery: the overall development continue to heat up. 2009 1 August total, agricultural machinery industrial output value increased by 22.71%, higher than the industry more than 12 percentage points; agricultural products, the representation of products – large and medium tractors, 1 ~ 8 monthly production of 15 million units, in the substantial growth in 2008, based on the further growth of 6.82% year on year, indicating strong support because of the country, “three rural” agricultural machinery industry has ushered in a spring. Food packaging machinery manufacturing industry has gradually picked up.

Machine tool industry: the growth rate continued to fall. 2009 1 August total industrial output value increased by 8.44%, but the following two points should cause great concern: First, as imports rose faster, so domestic machine tool market share of 39.5% from 2005 to decline further in 2008 38.7%; second output of CNC machine tools since 2009, the growth rate fell rapidly, 1 June cumulative increase of nearly three years has been more than 40% down to 18.61%.

3.2009 overall analysis of the year

Combination of factors, an overall analysis of the entire industry machinery industry in 2009 continue to maintain the same basic trend of steady development. Compared with 2008 the annual output value and sales revenue will grow about 12% and profits will be a slight decline in export earnings will be reduced by 25%. And medium-sized tractors produced up to 25 million units, breaking the record; power generation equipment production reached about 80 million kW; CNC machine tool production to nearly 13 million units; vehicle production more than 13 million, to achieve expected to grow by about 20% in early target; of these output of more than 7.6 million cars, an increase of 22% or more.

2, 2010, machine tool industry trend forecasting

  1. Trends affecting the industry in 2010 Analysis of environmental factors

(1) from the macro-economic environment, 2010 will continue to maintain a relatively rapid GDP growth in 2010 is “Eleventh Five” plan the completion of the year, has 17 large, “Shier Wu” plan outlines the blueprint. Against this backdrop, the whole country was filled with enthusiasm and development. Based on estimated economic growth in 2010 will not be too low, GDP growth is expected in 2009 compared with about 8% of the increase will be close to 10%, of which the secondary industry will grow at more than 13%.

To ensure policy continuity and stability will be the Government’s macroeconomic regulation and control of the tone. In 2008 macro-regulation achieved significant results, based on the 2009 macro-economic situation continues to develop towards the target, the effect of macroeconomic regulation and control is increasingly apparent. Overall judgments, macro China Metal Processing Online Copyright steady growth of the economy is already in the period, this excellent hard-won situation, it is necessary to prevent further decline, and also to prevent over-investment, focusing on short-term action to prevent the investment in the economic situation has become understanding of the mainstream view. Is expected to maintain the policy continuity and stability will be the 2010 Government in the economic macro-control work mood.

2010, total fixed asset investment growth will show a slow deceleration of the trend growth rate in 2009 will be 22.9% to 20%. In the scientific development, the transformation of economic growth under the guidance of new development ideas, over-reliance on investment-led approach to development under control. At present a serious overcapacity in some sectors in some areas of potential over-investment in fixed assets has been inhibited.

As I am slowing export growth, international trade surplus dropped sharply, trade frictions are increasing, coupled with appreciation of the renminbi, the 2009 export growth is expected to slow; the other hand, the state will adjust the export tax rebate policy, which will actually export enterprises received tax rebate increase to help the enterprises to expand exports. Is expected to import and export growth in 2010 will be held in 12% and 14% or so.

(2) from the machine-building industry operating environment, “the State Council on the revitalization of the equipment manufacturing industry planning” has been introduced, which will be the development of machine-building industry to create an enabling environment. “Revitalization Plan” is characterized by clear objectives and strong orientation; focused, easy to focus; measures China Metal Processing Online Copyright specific, gold content; organizations to implement, which will help co-ordination.

Drop in the stabilization of the current domestic market, companies are expected to rebound in orders; steel prices drop potential is inhibited, machine-building industry in 2010 increased the pressure of rising costs; power shortage has eased, supply is expected over previous years; international crude oil prices rebound, tightening of domestic refined oil supply and demand; the international industrial transfer of development slowed, but still a huge undertaking the transfer of space.

2.2010 years, machine-building industry forecasts the development trend of the major sub-sectors

The overall trend of steady development, major sub-sectors of the trend vary. The underlying trend will continue, the pattern of the second half of 2009: power equipment, heavy-duty mining equipment, petrochemical equipment and other major technologies and equipment and agricultural equipment manufacturing growth will remain above the industry average; automobile, engineering machinery, basic parts, internal combustion engine All rights reserved China Metal Machining Manufacturing growth will below the industry average, the machine tool industry growth will be much higher than the previous industry-wide average down to industry-wide average.

For the machine tool industry, with the automobile, motorcycle, heavy electrical major user industries such as investment peak of the fall speed of machine tool industry will continue to fall, is expected in 2010 about 10%.

For the general machinery manufacturing, to fans, compressors, air separation equipment, pumps, valves and other products, as represented by general machinery manufacturing, by the electrician, heavy-duty mining machinery, petrochemical equipment manufacturing industry supporting demand pull, is expected to be in 2010 to achieve 15% ~ 20% increase.

For the automotive industry, automobile industry is expected in 2010 will show a steady development momentum, with passenger cars being favored in the energy-saving products, production and sales of the increase in the proportion of low-emission vehicle, motorcycle industry as a whole is running tight, efficiency is far greater than the difficulties of growing production and sales, the overall projected growth rate of 14% or so.

For the agricultural machinery industry, in 2009 central and local financial subsidies to farmers to buy farm machinery will continue to increase the intensity, while continuing to take measures to enable farmers burdens increase in farm production and marketing situation is expected to continue to improve, the growth rate projected at 17% or so.

For the other sectors in 2010 growth forecast of around 12% of parts and components manufacturing, refrigeration and air-conditioning machinery manufacturing 9% ~ 11%, mold manufacturing 8% ~ 10%, about 18% of environmental protection machinery manufacturing industry, cultural and office machinery about 8% of the manufacturing sector, food and packaging machinery manufacturing about 15%, hydraulic, pneumatic, seals manufacturing 10% ~ 15%, about 10% of the printing machine manufacturing industry, bearing industry, 8% ~ 10%, 5% of internal combustion engine industry ~ 8%, engineering machinery manufacturing around 11%.

Interpretation

To sum up, the machine tool industry in 2010 may be about 10% of the growth of the data from the machine-building industry trade statistical analysis of view can be tenable. From the previous 30% or even 40% back to 10% growth in the financial crisis has brought to this industry is a rational regression, this regression can make machine business operators who, under practical thinking, carefully study the industry the law of development, lessons learned, research-based technology, independent innovation and development.

In this regard, die 100-hui Luo, CEO convinced that the financial crisis is like Ebb Tide, crisis, there is always a winner. While it is affecting the machine tool industry in the development of a variety of factors are entangled complexity of barriers to trade protectionism, domestic demand is still insufficient, but the difficulty is temporary after all, as long as our entrepreneurs are able to grasp the logic of crisis, there is always a strong winner confidence, there is hope for our industry.

The People’s Republic of China was first established, our country is in the “poor white” state, no Machine tool Manufacturing. 1949, a dozen maintenance companies and the production structure and the dozen belt behind the machine 1600. Japan’s machine tool production in 1938 will reach 67,260 units. In 1949 China’s machine tool has a capacity of 95,000 units. A new course of development of China’s machine After the founding of New China

rapid formation of the government team, the implementation of business change experts from the universal energy, national set of guidelines specifically for universal, primarily for maintenance of the original 18 Machinery Factory professional manufacturer of machine tools to transform, Valley said, ” 18 Rohan. ” 1953-1958 156 state key construction projects in the machine tool industry, there are three: the Shenyang No. 1 Machine Tool Plant, Harbin Measuring Tools Cutting Tool Works and Wuhan heavy machine tool plant. Variety Development in 1957 to 204 kinds of machine tools, machine tool production of 2.8 million units.

1961-1970 High precision machine tool in organizing campaign, to be completed in 1965 of 26 high-precision machine tools are an annual capacity of 500. 1966-1976 Organization of the industry as the “Second Automobile” provides 369 kinds of 7664 sets high-precision machine tool and efficient, domestically produced machine tools by measuring more than 90%, 80% by value.

Reform and opening up the machine tool industry for the manufacturing industry with more than 150 kinds of clocks for the bicycle industry with over 130 various kinds of specialized machines for the sewing machine industry with more than 300 kinds of dedicated specialized machines and automatic lines, made to improve people’s lives contributions.

From 1979 to 1985 there have been 24 foreign Machine Tool Plant and Machine Tool Plant Cooperation Production of 26 kinds of common machine tools and CNC machine tools Speed up the improvement of product technology of machine tools. From 1980 to 1995, 136 machine tool industry to introduce technology has greatly enhanced the level of machine. Such as “heavy weapons” to introduce the German company FB260 NC off boring Heath Milling “North a” introducing Coburg CNC Gantry Milling Machine reached world advanced level at the time. CNC machine tools available for the year 2000 up to 1500 kinds of varieties.

The new century the rapid development of machine tool industry. 2001-2007 Pension cutting machine tools production, output growth in Table 1. Table 12001-2007 annuity cutting machine tools production, production growth

The development of new varieties of the new century accelerated the development of new varieties each year more than 400 species, of which 3 / 4 is the NC type. Second, the machine tool industry a huge success

(A) of the output value of world power

Six years the machine tool industry from scratch, from small to large, in 2007 the world machine tool production, the output value ranked third in the world. China has gone six years of western industrial countries, 200-year journey. 1949-2007 annual output value of machine tools, production, variety development of Table 2. Table 21949-2007 value in machine tools, production, variety development

The Sixth China CNC Machine Tool Fair (CCMT2010), will be held April 12, 2010 -16 days held in Nanjing. The gradual recovery in global economic circumstances, in 2010 the development prospects of China’s machine tool industry will do? China Machine Tool Industry Association, Miss Berlin believes that industry-wide this year’s total industrial output value growth of 10% -15% of the overall stabilized to maintain a good momentum of development.

In 2009, the financial crisis sweeping the world, China’s machine tool industry suffered eight consecutive years of rapid development, the most difficult year. By the international financial crisis, China’s machine tool market growth in demand weak, market size shrinking, according to statistics, in 2009 the growth rate of domestic machine tool demand fell by 20% or more.

Foreign machine tool industry into a recession, the manufacturing recession, automotive and general machinery manufacturing industry, a significant decline in the demand for cars, data show that about 33.5% decline, which also led to China’s machine tool exports dropped significantly year on year.

In addition, because users the performance of machine tool products and put forward higher requirements, coupled with foreign machine tool manufacturers, price competition, restricted the development of China’s machine tool industry.

“These are still produced in China machine tool industry in 2010 will face a severe test.” Wu talked about Berlin.

In fact, in 2009, with the state plan to revitalize the equipment manufacturing industry to adjust the implementation details of the promulgation of industry-wide last year, total industrial output value and sales revenue has still maintained its growth in the total industrial output value reached 401.4 billion yuan, an increase of 16.1%, and the first second largest in the world first machine tool manufacturing country.

“Therefore, the situation gradually as the economy is good, this year’s total industrial output value of China’s machine tool growth of 10% -15% is no problem, and this is our conservative estimate.” Wu said in Berlin.

However, “do not represent the first product output efficiency is the strongest, China’s machine tool industry and products, the lack of deep-level product structure adjustment, for mastery of core technologies are not in place, that is what we hold to be resolved CNC Machine Tool Fair One of the problems. ”

It is understood that, CCMT2010 show will basically reflect the contemporary Chinese-made CNC machine tools and the latest products of the highest level is the highest level of Chinese-made CNC machine tools exhibition.

“With the demand end of last year the bubble finally burst in the financial crisis, a sharp decline in orders for German machine tool industry.” German Machine Tool Association, Xiweierke said recently. According to recent news published in other countries, the machine tool industry sales data showed that both the traditional or emerging markets power tools, machine tool sales decline in both the avalanche occurred.

    Machine power devastated

    German Machine Tool Association recently released news that the German machine tool production this year is expected to fall 40%. In the 5 years after a record peak in 2009, the German machine tool production is expected to be restored to 1999 levels.

    German Machine Tool Association, Xiweierke said: “In the past two years, the German machine tool industry experience can only be used to describe special circumstances.” Demand will continue to grow on the blind confidence of the international community led to increased demand for the manufacturing sector to record levels. Many large international consumer business through a large-scale expansion of production capacity to make an early decision to lock the market share.

    Germany’s experience is not the case. August 10, the United States Association For Manufacturing Technology (AMT) and the United States Machine Tool Distributors Association (AMTDA) statistics released in the first half. The first half of the total U.S. machine tool consumption amounted to 759 million U.S. dollars, higher than the same period in 2008 decreased 70.1%. In June, the U.S. machine tool production was 917 units, the chain added 58 units; consumption total 136,000,000 U.S. dollars, the chain increased 22%, but was 69.2% up year on year reduction. Metal cutting machine tools, for example, metal cutting machine tools in June amounted to 102 million U.S. dollars of consumption, the chain increased by 9.5%, but down 71.4%.

    Japan Machine Tool Industries Association (JMTBA) has also released the relevant statistical data. July 2009 the Japanese machine tool orders fell 72.2% year on year, the chain fell 1.5%. Of these, 72.7% decline in domestic orders and foreign orders fell 71.9%.

    The Italian machine tools, robots and automation Manufacturers Association (UCIMU-SISTEMIPERPRODURRE) research department statistics, compared to last year, first half of 2009, the Italian machine tool orders fell to 56.3% year on year. Which in the second quarter, the overall machine tool orders fell 63.1%, while domestic orders fell 62%, 64% decline in foreign orders.

    Germany, the United States, Japan and Italy are eight machines in the world powers.

    Shrinking demand in emerging markets

    Emerging markets also face the dilemma of shrinking demand.

    From the Indian Machine Tool Association, said the latest news, has experienced 30% for 5 consecutive years of market growth, the Indian machine tool industry is facing a sharp decline in customer demand resulting from declining demand. In this challenge, the Indian machine tool production in 2008 and 2007 to maintain a flat growth, of which 86% of metal cutting machine tools, metal forming machine tools rest.

    Has been the continuous development of the manufacturing sector has pushed India to the 2007 Big Machine 9 consumer market. Growth and demand for new industries to promote the demand for large machine tools, and pull the increase in imports. The metal processing machine tool concerned, imports accounted for 75% of total market share in India.

    Full CNC machine tool sales in India accounted for 65%. Throughout the industry, lathes, machining centers, special machine tools, presses and grinding machines in India in 2008 accounted for 80% of all machine tool production.

    China Machine Tool Industry Association executive vice president of Satisfying recent visit to Poland, the Czech Republic and Russia machine tool market, he said: “Russian machine tool industry under the most severe financial crisis, is now much better although not completely shut the factory, but only a week 2 to 3 working days, production decreased by 50%, and more, individual factories shut down for 2 to 3 months. ”

    St. Petersburg, Russia’s TBS factory was famous Leningrad Soviet-era machine tool plant, producing large, heavy-duty machine tools. By the financial crisis, the user less, underemployment, the original 400 employees, now only 10 people. While the takeover, production of some of the equipment needed for the Russian railway industry, such as not turning off the wheel, but also in the military industry, metallurgy industry, aircraft industry, etc. to provide some tools. On the other hand is also engaged in transforming the old machine.

    According to the Czech Republic Machine Tool Association estimates that in 2009 the Czech machine tool production could fall about 10%.

    Direct impact on China’s exports

    Direct attack on the international market slump in China’s export machine.

    According to customs statistics released this year, 1 to 6 months total exports of China’s machine tool industry, 2.13 billion U.S. dollars, down 36.2%.

    Export side, China’s machine tool main export markets in Europe, the United States, Japan and other economically developed body sharp drop in demand. By the international financial crisis, rose faster last year, India, Brazil, Russia, the machine tool market is down double-digit rate. Half, China’s total machine tool exports increased by -31.3%, while total exports of machine tools a year ago an increase of 37.1%.

    While the international machine tool market as a whole was shrinking, but in many bright spots. This year, our large, heavy-duty machine tool imports and exports grew rapidly. In the first half, CNC milling, CNC grinding machines, CNC gear cutting machines were up more than 50%. Average unit price of large-scale machine tool exports doubled, heavy-duty machine tool export performance than other products.

    Meanwhile, the analysis is not difficult to see the Eastern European market potential market opportunities: First, the impact of financial crisis on the Polish small, because 70% of the machines imported. Polish economy this year may increase 1%, than Western European countries well; Secondly, there is a better basis for the Czech machine tool industry, tool technology level of its quality is better, and 70% of the machine tool exports. Despite the financial crisis, but the Czech machine tool industry production is relatively normal, they carried out extensive trade cooperation with China, on to seize the domestic machine tool market have a strong desire to rival China’s concern; then followed by Russia, As the financial crisis, Russia’s machine tool industry downturn is more severe, recovery will take some time. But the Russian Government has recognized the problem, developed a 5-year revitalization plan and started implementation of the project equally concerned about China’s machine tool industry.

    In addition, the Eastern European countries is not very complete variety of Machine Tools, parts have been lacking, and our machine tool industry after years of rapid development, already have a considerable size, complete range of products, with certain technical level, especially large heavy-duty machine tool exports greater potential. Furthermore, our control system, ball screw, cutting tools and other accessory products, as long as product quality after-sales service to solve the problem, exports to these countries has great potential. It is understood that these countries are well-known machine tool enterprises such as the Czech Republic SKODA, TOSVarnsdorf, Poland, AVIA, etc. have built our company-owned or joint ventures, may wish to use the existing cooperation channels and gradually realize the diversification of China’s machine tool market.

April 26 in Kunming Machine tool Published in 2010 a 1-March quarterly revenue the company completed 351 million yuan, up 48.1%; net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies was 43.03 million yuan, up 57.6%. A quarter earnings per share of 0.10 yuan. Our analysis and determine 1) performance of the company’s rapid growth is largely attributable to a sustained recovery as the economy, market conditions improve, showing a marked growth in downstream demand, driven machine tool industry to accelerate recovery. January-February 2010, China’s machine tool industry to complete Pin Sales income of 67.95 billion yuan, up 37.5%; of which exports amounted to 4.46 billion yuan, up 25.6%; industry sales rate of more than 96% recovered to pre-crisis levels. The process of recovery in the industry, market structure differentiation significantly, the market demand to accelerate the trend of high-end product development, common, economical CNC machine tools Decrease in demand, popular type, advanced CNC machine tools demand continues to grow. According to the first 2 months of industry data, metal cutting machine tools industry-wide production of 88,170 units, up 28.4%; which CNC machine tool production was 24,332 units, up 57.7%, far exceeding the industry average growth rate, fully demonstrates the high market rapid growth in demand-side machine status. 2) trade and technological progress continue to speed up the recovery performance of the company’s growth in the formation of double support. The company’s leading product floor milling Boring And horizontal boring and milling are all high-tech CNC machine tools; particular floor type boring and milling machine, as the upgrading of the company developed products are widely used in Mining Machinery , Wind power, shipbuilding, construction machinery and heavy equipment, processing, market demand has been growing in recent years has been a major driver of growth performance of the company, in 2009 overall downturn of the industry, the company’s floor-type milling and boring machine also maintained a 23.5 % growth in 2010 is still the company’s revenue and earnings growth, most important driving force. The company will continue to promote Boring and Milling machine tools and other major type, but also will further consolidate and expand the competitive advantage of horizontal boring and milling and market share. For the past two years introduced CNC Gantry Boring Milling And related Key Feature product, the company will improve product quality and market development have increased efforts to foster new growth the next two years to prepare. 3) To further expand the sales network, optimize the customer structure, to avoid fluctuations in the economy is significantly affected by the company management, the company stressed that open up new markets, focusing on the new energy, railway construction and extension of military and automotive industries. We believe that the current trend of China’s rapid economic growth more clearly, the manufacturing sector will be an important driving force of economic recovery. Construction machinery, wind power, railway, mining and other downstream industries will continue to faster growth; while high-end machine tools to the trend of development is also beneficial to the company’s products. 2010 company revenue target for the completion of 1.8 billion, net profit of 260 million yuan, respectively, an increase of 31% and 22%.

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Industrial chain from the machine tool industry, cars, machinery manufacturing, military, and other machine tools industry is the main downstream sectors, including automobile is the most important industry, accounting for the lower machine tool industry, 45% or so. However, the recovery of the downstream industry does not seem to spread to the machine tool industry, machine tool industry is still profitable this year’s negative growth, a securities analysis industry believe that this situation will change in the fourth quarter.

    

    In the growth stage

    The rapid development of the global machine tool industry. 2005 ~ 2008 the global machine tool industry in excess of 10% growth rate, much higher than the growth rate of the global economy over the same period in 2008, the global machine tool industry’s total output has exceeded 80 billion U.S. dollars. From the production point of view, Japan, Germany, China, Italy is the machine tool industry a major producing countries: accounts for about 65% of the world. From the consumer point of view, to China, Germany, Japan, the United States, Italy, mainly in 2008 China’s machine tool consumption totaled 19.44 billion U.S. dollars, for seven consecutive years to maintain the world’s first machine tool consumer location.

    

    China’s machine tool industry from 2003 to 2008 average annual growth rate of 26%, far higher than the GDP growth rate, China’s machine tool industry shows tremendous room for growth. From the industry life-cycle point of view, present, China’s machine tool industry in the growth stage, showing a faster growth for the industry, profitability stabilized. The domestic market share of domestic machine tools in 2000, less than 40% increase in 2008 61%. But high-end CNC machine tools in China depends on imports for most of the situation has still not broken, my homemade CNC machine tools are mostly of simple, low value-added economy CNC machine tools, imports are high value-added high profile CNC machine tools, foreign companies about occupied 85% of China’s high-end machine tool market share.

    

    Hope fourth quarter of positive growth

    1 ~ 8 month in the policy to stimulate domestic demand, the machine tool industry bottomed out, the monthly production data up data has been narrowed to the lowest point -34% -9%, showing a bottoming out trend, in which the performance of numerical control machine tool is better than general machine tools, CNC machine tools in August production growth rate -5% -9% of the total machine. Because of China’s machine tool exports accounted for relatively small, and therefore machine tool industry bottoming out mainly by domestic demand and policy implications.

    

    However, profitability indicators, 1 August machine tool industry is still a negative growth in gross profit year on year, or even negative growth in the index in August has increased, in sharp contrast with the output indicators, indicating the machine tool industry rebound is no solid foundation.

    

    Major downstream from the machine tool industry point of view, the automotive industry is a major downstream sectors of machine tools. In the first three quarters, in the promotion of relevant policies, China’s auto industry emerged in the WBC market, in particular, vehicle production rose in August reached a record high. From the machine tool industry and the automotive industry trend point of view, from January 2007 to January 2009 showed a higher between the two relations match, but the consistent relationship in February 2009 after the departure. There are agency analysts believe that this is because the automotive industry lags caused by expansion of production capacity, this departure from the impossible to sustain a long time. With the four-quarter vehicle production increases, the departure will be gradually narrowed. As the fourth quarter of 2008, production of a low base machine tool industry, machine tool industry in the fourth quarter is expected to achieve positive growth.

    

    Run from the main raw material of steel prices trend, present a serious surplus production capacity of China’s iron and steel fourth quarter, less upward pressure on steel prices, thus the fourth quarter, a profit machine tool industry, larger space, which would be positive for corporate earnings machine.