Into the third quarter, the machine tool industry has shown all the signs of recovery. Overall, for the fourth quarter of this year, the industry is optimistic about the operation of the enterprise more, because of China’s automobile, engineering machinery, railway, wind power development of new energy industries machine tool market has created a strong demand environment. However, we look forward to most is not numerical growth, but would like to see industrial layout is reasonable, rational and prosperous market developments.
Recently, from the China Machine Tool Industry Association Marketing Department was informed that the first three quarters of industrial output value of China’s machine tool industry grew steadily in the third quarter rose to double-digit monthly growth rate. At the same time, the whole industry began to decline in the profit narrowed, and enterprise deficits have narrowed, but the sharp downturn in import and export situation has not improved, the decline in exports is particularly serious.
Association marketing officer said that the country benefited from a package of economic stimulus plan, beginning in March machine tool industry indicators stabilized, business confidence in the market increased. 9 months of the previous statistics, machine tool industry sales rate of 97.2% year on year increase of 0.6 percentage points.
The source believes that the current aggregate demand has not yet fully recovered, but a number of key sectors of the continuing strong demand for machine tools. Machine tool is expected in 2009 industry-wide growth rate would reach about 10%, metal cutting machine tool industry flat or up slightly. Metalworking machine tool imports the whole year will reach 6.1 billion U.S. dollars, exports will drop to 14 billion U.S. dollars.
Industry growth rate stabilized up
It is understood that the first two quarters of industrial output value of machine tool industry has been the monthly growth rate of around 5%, while the 7,8,9 a higher growth rate for three months to drive a ~ in September to reach 9.1% cumulative growth, development trends good.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics data show that 1 ~ September machine tool industries and enterprises in total industrial output value of 272.62 billion yuan to complete, an increase of 9.1%; September monthly industrial output value grew 18.2%. One privately-held companies and other types of businesses to achieve a higher growth rate, respectively 19.0% and 17.7%; collectively owned enterprises from a negative growth, achieving a slight increase of 1.1%; state-owned enterprises has been slowing down is higher than in the first half , in order to -6.7%; Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and foreign-controlled enterprises in the first half compared to the better, but still double-digit decline in velocity, respectively -13.7% and -16.9%.
Sub-sectors of view, machine tool industry, the total industry output accounted for a quarter of the metal cutting machine tool industry-starting in April this year for 5 consecutive months of negative growth in total industrial output value up, basically maintained at 2% drop . Since September, the industry growth rate of monthly industrial output value reached 12.0%, growth of 8.5% growth rate is relatively large, pull a ~ September growth rate of total industrial output value and the year-ago quarter.
According to China’s Machine Tool Industry Association’s 125 key enterprises contact metal cutting machine tools of statistical data, except in March and September, the monthly growth in industrial output was negative. Since March, metal cutting machine tool industry, mainly in the monthly industrial output value of 4.5 billion to 50 Bn fluctuations in August to exceed 50 billion, have significantly increased in the first few months of this year, but still stable, somewhat in September down, given the low base last year, year on year in September a more visible growth.
Although the metal cutting industry, a ~ August sales revenue growth of more than 1 to May increased by 0.9 percentage points, an increase of 6.7%. But the decline in product sales revenue has more than 1 to May increased by 1.4 percentage points. Clearly, the machine tool industry in general to the good development, but the metal cutting machine tool industry is not stable.
Some adjustment of product structure
The financial crisis on demand for all types of machines vary in effect, ordinary, low-grade cnc machine tool demand has shrunk dramatically, large heavy and steady demand for high-end cnc machine tools.
According to association statistics, in 2009 1 ~ 9 months, NC metal processing machine tool output rate was 53.6%, up 6.0 percentage points. Production of metal cutting machine tools and cnc machine tool production in the same period were lower than the 30.6% and 13.8%, the average unit price has improved over last year, respectively 34% and 21%. From the second half of last year, in September this year, machine average unit price growth accelerating, especially in the first half of this year, a year ago increased by an average of more than 10 percentage points.
In addition, the third quarter of this year, imports of machine tool parts and components reached the peak of the last four quarters. From this we can see that the need of domestic machine tools equipped with imported components is increasing.
Import machine structure is also to keep the high-end and large-scale changes in unit price from the import of machine tools can be seen that trend. 1 to September of this year, average unit price of imported machine tools 8.9 million, increase of 11% over the same period last year.
China’s monthly imports of machine tool products in June this year, reaching a maximum value of 990 million U.S. dollars, after July, in August a two-month decline in September climbing again, reaching 940 million U.S. dollars, down 16.4%, growth of 31.5 %, the second this year more than 900 million U.S. dollars of imports of the month.
The depth of decline in exports
By the financial crisis, the international machine tool market continues to slump. In the first 9 months, the world’s major machine tool producing countries and regions are sharp decline in the consumer market.
According to association statistics, 1 in September China’s machine tool exports of 3.39 billion U.S. dollars, up 37.9% decrease; of these metal processing machine tool export 1.03 billion, down 36.3%. Contrast to industry-wide exports, monthly chain showing a slight upward trend, which, in September this year, exports reached the highest monthly value of 460 million U.S. dollars.
Statistics also show that the current unit price continued to decline in China’s export machine, with an average unit price fell by 25%. In particular the combination of machine tools, CNC horizontal lathe, CNC gear cutting machine tools, bench drill, polishing machine, planer, broaching, sawing, forming bending machines, punching machines, mechanical presses and other types of machine tools drop is relatively large. Association, concerned that most of these products are low value-added, has the traditional advantage of export products, the unit price decline is likely to increase the state tax credits and the recent so the reasons for enterprises to reduce costs, it may be enterprises to seize the international market active behavior of a share of price cuts.