Analysis of Chinese Engineering Machine Market in 2006 and Its Prediction in 2007

1.China machine market review in 2007

In 2007 engineering machine state of business under national implementation macroeconomic regulation and control situation, and in the last few years the growth rate of China engineering machine is lowest between 2005 May to the end of 2006, in 2005 the increased range is 11.6%,2006 year is 9.1%, but in 2006 the engineering machine restores to the high increased range track, estimated that the entire profession total sales will surpass US,000,000,000, grow compared to the same period will achieve 20%. According to the major enterprise main product’s sales volume statistics, The excavator 19 major enterprises altogether sell 45702, grows 45.8% compared to the same period; The car loader 26 major enterprises altogether sell 119895, grows 13.3% compared to the same period; The bulldozer 13 major enterprises altogether sell 6087, grows 16.2% compared to the same period; The road roller 10 major enterprises altogether sell 2247, grows 31.3% compared to the same period; The project hoist crane 16 major enterprises altogether sell 14081, grows 30.8% compared to the same period; The bulldozer 14 major enterprises altogether sell 8358, grows 21.2% compared to the same period; The forklift 40 major enterprises altogether sell 78709, grows 35.5% compared to the same period. According to the concretes machine basis incomplete statistics, the concretes agitation vehicle reaches 11,000, the concretes tows pump 4500, pumpcrete machine vehicle 1800, the concretes agitation stands 1800 sets, the growth above 30%. Other machine for example grinding mill, jaw crusher, stone crusher, milling machine, rock crusher, crusher and so on also has the big growth..

In 2007 the engineering machine profession’s import and export also enters the top digit movement, import amount US,900,000,000, grows compared to the same period reaches 28%, the export amount amounts to US,000,000,000, grows compared to the same period reaches 70%. Import country’s first three were still Japan, Germany, South Korea, these three country’s gross imports approximately compose the total import amount about 70%. Looking from the import product, the biggest is engineering machine spare part, the import amount amounts to more than US,300,000,000, approximately composes the total import amount about 33%, next is the caterpillar excavator, imports more than 27,000 , with collects more than 10 hundred million US dollars, approximately composes the total import amount 25%. The products which import amount surpasses US0,000,000 are the elevator and the staircase with a handrail, the crawler crane, the rock drill and the tunnel mechanical boring machine and so on..

2.Engineering machine market expectation in 2008

The Central Economic Working Conference had determined the growth rate of GDP is 8% in 2008, the entire social fixed assets investment grows the control compared to the same period about 20%. This is extremely advantageous to the engineering machine market. According to our country two big research institutes forecast that the above growth rate possibly must have the breakthrough, The Council Development Research Center forecast that in 2008 GDP will grow about 10%, the rate of expends increment is about 13%, the rate of investment increment is about 25%, the rate of import and export increment is about 20%, resident consumption price increase scope about 2%. The Chinese Social Science Institute autumn report predict that in 2008 the GDP speed-up will maintain in 10% levels, the rate of actual investment increment will maintain in about 20% level, the consumption price will rise about 1.1%, the import and the export rate of rise will be respectively 22% and 15%, but the favorable balance still had the possibility to surpass US0,000,000,000. Certainly also had the disadvantage factor, the national macroeconomic regulation and control has enlarged to the land strobe’s control dynamics, 1,800,000,000 Chinese acre cultivated land’s inventory agents must maintain to 2020, it’s a austere test to the engineering machine market. Synthesizes each kind of factor, estimated that in 2008 the engineering machine market situation still had the great growth scope compared to 2007 , but the increased range slightly will possibly be lower than in 2007, estimated that the increased range about 12%, the sales volume will top US,670,000,000. The imports and exports total will also have the great growth scope, estimated that the import amount surpasses US,000,000,000 hopefully, the export amount surpasses US,500,000,000.